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FOAK to NOAK: Green Carbon Shift

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Created January 6, 2026

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FOAK to NOAK - The $1.1 Trillion Market Shift You're Missing "The $1.1 trillion green carbon market

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just shifted from experimental to infrastructure-grade. And most investors are still funding

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the wrong stage. Here's what the 2026 Global Green Carbon Market Report reveals - and why

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it changes everything." THE CRITICAL SHIFT "The report dropped a critical insight: we're transitioning

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from First-of-a-Kind to Next-of-a-Kind projects. FOAK means unproven technology,

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60-70% failure rates, 10-15 year paybacks. Most climate funds are still here." "NOAK means proven

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models replicating at scale. 85-90% success rates, 5-7 year paybacks. This is where the

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$1.1 trillion is moving." THE DATA EVERYONE'S MISSING "While Direct Air

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