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Why Random Events Cluster: Poisson Clumping

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Created December 30, 2025

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Video Transcript

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Have you ever wondered why buses often arrive together? We expect them to arrive at

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perfectly even intervals, like clockwork. But true randomness rarely looks like a neat,

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orderly pattern. If each arrival is independent, some minutes will be empty,

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while others catch several. This naturally creates long quiet gaps followed by sudden

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bursts or clumps. Our brains mistake a constant average for a regular, predictable rhythm.

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In mathematics, this clustering of random events is called Poisson clumping. It explains everything

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from bus schedules and email bursts to shark sightings. Next time things bunch up,

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ask yourself: is there a cause, or just randomness?

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