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The Birthday Paradox Explained

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Created November 15, 2025

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Video Transcript

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Here’s a paradox that breaks almost everyone’s intuition. It’s about birthdays. And probability. <break time="0.5s" />

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Imagine a room with just 23 people. Not 100. Not 500. Just 23. <break time="0.5s" />

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What are the odds that two people in that room share the same birthday? <break time="0.5s" /> The answer is…

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Fifty percent. A coin toss. <break time="0.5s" /> Your brain rejects that. Because you compare

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your birthday to 22 others. That’s not how probability works. <break time="0.5s" /> The math checks

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pairs, not individuals. And in a group of 23, there are 253 unique

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pairs. All possible combinations. <break time="0.5s" /> More pairs = more chances for a match.

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Way more than your intuition expects. <break time="0.5s" /> 253 comparisons. Against 365 possible birthdays.

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